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Short note: "Surging business formation in the pandemic: A brief update," with John Haltiwanger.
Paper: "Surging business formation in the pandemic: Causes and consequences?" with John Haltiwanger. Published in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Fall 2023 conference volume. (See also High tech business entry in the pandemic era).
Discussion [slides] [video]: "New U.S. business establishments: Surging or stalling?" (paper by Cao, Hyatt, Mukoyama, and Sager); discussion at the July 2024 CRIW meeting.
My published research focuses on entrepreneurship, firm dynamics, and macroeconomics in both official and nontraditional (private sector) data.
I am the Chief of the Industrial Output Section at the Federal Reserve Board. Other past and present internal Board responsibilities have included serving as a Special Adviser to Governor Adriana Kugler; coordinating the staff GDP forecast; tracking the industrial sector especially motor vehicles, aircraft, and oil & gas; and working on various small/new business and nontraditional data projects.
I am also a member of the Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (CRIW), a Special Sworn Status (SSS) researcher at the U.S. Census Bureau, and a T1D dad. I grew up in western Colorado.
This is a personal website. Any results or conclusions in the research presented on this website are my own and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve System or its staff. My official website is here.
